9 races · TIMESIM Original & TIMESIM 100 · Scott Tobia Handicapping
Delaware Park has 9 races on the card. Our strongest TIMESIM 100 winning chance is Chappelle in Race 8 at 53.7%. Both models put this horse first. A strong selection still needs the right price; the value screen below compares the morning line with our fair odds. TIMESIM SD0, SD3 and SD5 are shown separately; no variation was selected using race results.
Our selected feature is Race 6, MdSpWt, at 8 furlongs on Dirt. Even Up gets the nod from TIMESIM 100 at 22.7% to win. Vargas Jorge A Jr rides for Owens Eddie Jr. That works out to roughly 7/2 fair odds; we want a price above that estimate before calling it a win-bet opportunity. Daddy Moneybags is the main model threat at 22.0%. Six Stitches rounds out the leading group. The Original model agrees on the top selection. Check official scratches, surface changes and the actual odds before using these projections.
The Delaware Park card offers 9 races to work through. #7 Happy Encounter in Race 9 has the clearest separation from its nearest rival in Scott’s ratings. That makes it a useful starting point for the card, while the race notes below explain both the attraction and the opposition. Ratings compare contenders; they do not turn a short price into a good bet.
Race 9: #7 Happy Encounter. The main positives are a positive trainer record relative to this field and late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. The supplied morning line is 1-1. Check the actual price and official changes before deciding whether to bet; this selection is a preference, not a guaranteed value play.
Race 6 is the highest-purse race listed in the supplied card. #7 Six Stitches leads Scott’s ordering. #7 Six Stitches gets the nod here, with a favorable rider-statistics profile and race-speed figures that compare well with this field. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility.
Race 4: #3 She'S Wicked Hot is a longer-priced contender among Scott’s first three, listed at 8-1 on the morning line. The appeal includes a favorable rider-statistics profile and race-speed figures that compare well with this field. That price is a pre-race estimate, not a live quote or proof of a betting edge.
Card-based analysis generated from frozen ratings; confirm current odds and official changes.
Independent contender ratings alongside TIMESIM. Open a race and choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab for the full ranking.
Race 1: #8 Uniqueness · #3 Rosebank Red · #4 Bagley Cut
Race 2: #5 Canuto · #4 Cyberbeast · #2 Develop Product
Race 3: #1 Heavenly Tactic · #7 Pippa'S Noncents · #2 Dakota Cam
Race 4: #3 She'S Wicked Hot · #10 Lovely Cause · #7 Regal Flair
Race 5: #1 Awesome Pic · #6 Pat'Schromecompass · #3 Three Polks
Race 6: #7 Six Stitches · #1 Herecomesthecptn · #5 Cohiba
Race 7: #2 Vorstin · #4 Precious Cat · #7 Derby Hangover
