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2026-10-16 · Dirt
Race 3 Clm10000C
Projected post: Time pending · 8 furlongs · 8 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pippa'S NoncentsJ: GONZALEZ MELVIS · T: SIMONE MICHAEL V | 3/2 | 2-1 | 31.68% | 61.03% | 80.44% |
| 5 | Warriors JewelJ: VILLASMIL EDGAR · T: RODRIGUEZ JESUS | 3-1 | 4-1 | 20.00% | 29.07% | 36.78% |
| 6 | My Dear AntoniaJ: ROSARIO EMANUEL · T: MANCILLA CARLOS A | 8-1 | 4-1 | 19.37% | 37.54% | 53.89% |
| 1 | Heavenly TacticJ: RAMOS JATNIEL · T: ROBERTSON MCLEAN | 7/2 | 8-1 | 11.61% | 27.19% | 44.41% |
| 2 | Dakota CamJ: MARAGH CHRISTIAN · T: RAMIREZ SILVINO | 10-1 | 15-1 | 6.00% | 20.11% | 41.31% |
| 4 | TavriaJ: MENA RAUL E · T: NOWAK OLGA J | 20-1 | 15-1 | 5.70% | 9.48% | 13.07% |
| 8 | Sweet And FeistyJ: FERNANDEZ MARVIN · T: NAMBO CESAR | 12-1 | 15-1 | 5.48% | 14.52% | 26.41% |
| 3 | Momentous AffairJ: HESS SARA · T: NAMBO CESAR | 12-1 | 660-1 | 0.15% | 1.04% | 3.69% |
Top exacta combinations
6-7 (8.89%) · 7-6 (8.41%) · 5-7 (8.27%) · 7-1 (6.87%) · 7-2 (6.71%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#1 Heavenly Tactic · #7 Pippa'S Noncents · #2 Dakota Cam
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
#1 Heavenly Tactic gets the nod here, with a running style that fits the projected pace scenario and late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Heavenly Tactic has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
#7 Pippa'S Noncents is the main alternative, bringing race-speed figures that compare well with this field. #2 Dakota Cam rounds out the first three, with a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. The reservation is that the early-pace comparison is less favorable.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.