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2026-10-16 · Dirt

Race 9 Md10000

Projected post: Time pending · 8 furlongs · 7 active runners

#Horse / ConnectionsMLOur oddsWinPlaceShow
2Little LoganJ: CHUAN MARTIN · T: MANCILLA CARLOS A15-17/222.52%34.69%44.55%
3TuvanaJ: RAMOS JATNIEL · T: MALDONADO JONATHAN12-14-119.28%32.23%43.16%
1MisseleanorJ: ROSARIO EMANUEL · T: LOPEZ MARIO ROBERTO12-19/217.98%32.35%45.20%
4DoncellaJ: WILLIAMS AJHARI · T: BRYANT DONALD L7/55-116.81%40.76%62.88%
7Happy EncounterJ: VARGAS JORGE A JR · T: MALDONADO JONATHAN1-110-18.75%29.78%56.90%
6Its My DecisionJ: FERNANDEZ MARVIN · T: NAZARIO PEDRO15-110-18.45%15.76%22.97%
5Smokie MistJ: BETANCOURT JOSE R · T: REED JACLYN J15-115-16.22%14.42%24.34%

Top exacta combinations

2-4 (6.21%) · 4-7 (5.73%) · 3-4 (5.27%) · 1-4 (5.23%) · 2-7 (4.38%)

Scott Tobia Handicapping

#7 Happy Encounter · #4 Doncella · #3 Tuvana

#7 Happy Encounter gets the nod here, with a positive trainer record relative to this field and late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. The field does not show a heavy concentration of early-running types, so the opening positions could matter.

#4 Doncella is the main alternative, bringing race-speed figures that compare well with this field. #3 Tuvana rounds out the first three, with a positive trainer record relative to this field. The top selection has a clearer rating edge here, though that is not a calibrated winning probability.

Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.

Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.