11 races · TIMESIM Original & TIMESIM 100 · Scott Tobia Handicapping
Belmont at the Big A has 11 races on the card. Our strongest TIMESIM 100 winning chance is Delightful Flame in Race 2 at 70.9%. Both models put this horse first. A strong selection still needs the right price; the value screen below compares the morning line with our fair odds.
Our selected feature is Race 2, Alw55000s, at 6 furlongs on Inner turf. Delightful Flame gets the nod from TIMESIM 100 at 70.9% to win. Davis Katie rides for Duggan David P. That works out to roughly 2/5 fair odds; we want a price above that estimate before calling it a win-bet opportunity. Gift Of Gab is the main model threat at 21.0%. River Seine rounds out the leading group. The Original model agrees on the top selection. Check official scratches, surface changes and the actual odds before using these projections.
The Belmont at the Big A card offers 11 races to work through. #6 Commuted in Race 1 has the clearest separation from its nearest rival in Scott’s ratings. That makes it a useful starting point for the card, while the race notes below explain both the attraction and the opposition. Ratings compare contenders; they do not turn a short price into a good bet.
Race 1: #6 Commuted. The main positives are race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a favorable recent-form profile. The supplied morning line is 1/2. Check the actual price and official changes before deciding whether to bet; this selection is a preference, not a guaranteed value play.
Race 2 is the highest-purse race listed in the supplied card. #4 Gift Of Gab leads Scott’s ordering. #4 Gift Of Gab comes out on top of this field, with a positive trainer record relative to this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Gift Of Gab has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
Race 11: #6 Tapwrits Temper is a longer-priced contender among Scott’s first three, listed at 10-1 on the morning line. The appeal includes a favorable rider-statistics profile and a favorable recent-form profile. That price is a pre-race estimate, not a live quote or proof of a betting edge.
Card-based analysis generated from frozen ratings; confirm current odds and official changes.
Independent contender ratings alongside TIMESIM. Open a race and choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab for the full ranking.
Race 1: #6 Commuted · #1 Cool Andy · #4 Kunshan Bridge
Race 2: #4 Gift Of Gab · #1 Delightful Flame · #2 My First Dinah
Race 3: #5 Le Gris · #3 Missouri River · #6 Ambition
Race 4: #1 Notable Exchange · #4 Bow Draw · #2 Save Us Melania
Race 5: #7 Shape Note · #4 Bite And Strike · #5 Mission Improbable
Race 6: #7 City Blocks · #5 Will Not Be Swayed · #4 Proud Foot
Race 7: #1 Carc Brothers · #2 Mutaawid · #7 Interceptor
Race 8: #4 Mursal · #5 Despo'S Dream · #9 Beira
Race 9: #3 Sharp Swinger · #1 Georgia Magic · #7 Inexorable
Race 10: #1 Highlands Way · #7 Unit Economics · #3 Paros
Race 11: #10 Shoot The Nickel · #6 Tapwrits Temper · #4 Secured Landing
