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2026-10-17 · Dirt
Race 3 Alw32000s
Projected post: Time pending · 10 furlongs · 6 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Le GrisJ: FRANCO MANUEL · T: RICE LINDA | 7/5 | 8/5 | 38.45% | 64.78% | 81.98% |
| 3 | Missouri RiverJ: OCASIO LUIS M · T: PINO MICHAEL V | 3-1 | 7/2 | 21.70% | 39.97% | 56.85% |
| 2 | Systemic ChangeJ: LEZCANO JOSE · T: RICE LINDA | 4-1 | 7-1 | 12.99% | 28.48% | 45.53% |
| 1 | FrizzanteJ: PENA PEDRO · T: FERRARO JAMES W | 6-1 | 7-1 | 12.28% | 28.24% | 46.48% |
| 4 | Sharp SparkJ: GONZALEZ SILVESTRE · T: KANTARMACI ILKAY | 5-1 | 7-1 | 11.79% | 30.52% | 52.82% |
| 6 | AmbitionJ: FRESU ANTONIO · T: KANTARMACI ILKAY | 8-1 | 30-1 | 2.79% | 8.00% | 16.33% |
Top exacta combinations
5-3 (10.37%) · 5-4 (9.63%) · 3-5 (9.62%) · 5-1 (8.21%) · 5-2 (7.82%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#5 Le Gris · #3 Missouri River · #6 Ambition
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
#5 Le Gris gets the nod here, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. As an early-running type, the selection may need to avoid spending too much energy before the stretch.
#3 Missouri River is the main alternative, bringing a favorable recent-form profile. #6 Ambition rounds out the first three, with a running style that fits the projected pace scenario. The reservation is that the projected race shape is a concern.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.