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2026-10-17 · Dirt
Race 11 Alw16000s
Projected post: Time pending · 7 furlongs · 10 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Secured LandingJ: CARMOUCHE K · T: RICE LINDA | 2-1 | 5/2 | 30.59% | 43.70% | 51.88% |
| 10 | Shoot The NickelJ: LEZCANO JOSE · T: RICE LINDA | 4-1 | 5-1 | 17.34% | 46.41% | 70.94% |
| 9 | Pineapple ManJ: HARKIE HEMAN K · T: KANTARMACI ILKAY | 12-1 | 5-1 | 16.55% | 22.35% | 26.07% |
| 2 | Normandy CoastJ: SANTANA RICARDO JR · T: FALCONE ROBERT N JR | 5-1 | 8-1 | 11.68% | 23.74% | 34.03% |
| 5 | PrincipJ: CASTELLANO J J · T: KANTARMACI MERTKAN | 8-1 | 12-1 | 8.28% | 17.88% | 27.29% |
| 8 | Two'S A CrowdJ: MARAGH RAJIV · T: RYAN DEREK S | 10-1 | 12-1 | 7.91% | 20.53% | 34.63% |
| 3 | Concorde SpiritJ: MARIN SAMUEL · T: RODRIGUEZ GUSTAVO | 8-1 | 25-1 | 3.95% | 10.24% | 17.72% |
| 6 | Tapwrits TemperJ: FRANCO MANUEL · T: DUTROW RICHARD E | 10-1 | 50-1 | 1.92% | 6.71% | 14.48% |
| 1 | Sara'S ShamanJ: GONZALEZ SILVESTRE · T: KANTARMACI MERTKAN | 20-1 | 80-1 | 1.13% | 4.37% | 10.27% |
| 7 | Life And LightJ: BOWEN ROCCO · T: PRINGLE EDMUND | 20-1 | 150-1 | 0.64% | 4.08% | 12.69% |
Top exacta combinations
4-10 (10.75%) · 4-2 (4.60%) · 9-10 (4.56%) · 9-4 (4.32%) · 2-10 (4.28%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#10 Shoot The Nickel · #6 Tapwrits Temper · #4 Secured Landing
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
#10 Shoot The Nickel comes out on top of this field, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Shoot The Nickel has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
#6 Tapwrits Temper is the main alternative, bringing a favorable rider-statistics profile. #4 Secured Landing rounds out the first three, with a positive trainer record relative to this field. The rating edge is modest, so the top selection should not crowd the alternatives out of consideration.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.