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2026-10-17 · Inner turf

Race 5 Alw55000s

Projected post: Time pending · 6 furlongs · 8 active runners

#Horse / ConnectionsMLOur oddsWinPlaceShow
4Bite And StrikeJ: LEZCANO JOSE · T: RICE LINDA3-13-125.09%33.48%39.91%
7Shape NoteJ: FRANCO MANUEL · T: MAKER MICHAEL J2-17/223.30%49.95%71.83%
5Mission ImprobableJ: ZAYAS EDGARD J · T: BRISSET RODOLPHE9/29/218.08%44.96%69.92%
6Vacation DanceJ: FRESU ANTONIO · T: NODA ORLANDO10-17-112.04%18.66%23.94%
2Calvin'S RideJ: MARIN SAMUEL · T: RICE KEVIN5-18-111.29%31.88%57.64%
3Billionaires RowJ: SANTANA RICARDO JR · T: KANTARMACI ILKAY10-115-15.72%9.72%13.40%
1John JayJ: RIVERA LUIS RAUL JR · T: MCBURNEY PATRICK B20-125-13.73%7.61%11.96%
8Global ProsperityJ: CASTELLANO J J · T: RICE LINDA8-1130-10.76%3.73%11.39%

Top exacta combinations

7-5 (9.60%) · 4-7 (8.35%) · 5-7 (7.39%) · 4-5 (7.10%) · 7-2 (6.72%)

Scott Tobia Handicapping

#7 Shape Note · #4 Bite And Strike · #5 Mission Improbable

#7 Shape Note comes out on top of this field, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. As an early-running type, the selection may need to avoid spending too much energy before the stretch.

#4 Bite And Strike is the main alternative, bringing a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. #5 Mission Improbable rounds out the first three, with late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. The reservation is that the projected race shape is a concern.

Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.

Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.