9 races · TIMESIM Original & TIMESIM 100 · Scott Tobia Handicapping
Santa Anita has 9 races on the card. Our strongest TIMESIM 100 winning chance is Peachy Canyon in Race 1 at 45.0%. Both models put this horse first. A strong selection still needs the right price; the value screen below compares the morning line with our fair odds.
Our selected feature is Race 3, LureL80k, at 8 furlongs on Turf. Nesso'S Lastharrah gets the nod from TIMESIM 100 at 27.7% to win. Berrios Hector Isaac rides for Bonde Jeff. That works out to roughly 5/2 fair odds; we want a price above that estimate before calling it a win-bet opportunity. Twirling Point is the main model threat at 27.2%. Endlessly rounds out the leading group. The Original model agrees on the top selection. Check official scratches, surface changes and the actual odds before using these projections.
The Santa Anita card offers 9 races to work through. #4 Blame Ashley in Race 6 has the clearest separation from its nearest rival in Scott’s ratings. That makes it a useful starting point for the card, while the race notes below explain both the attraction and the opposition. Ratings compare contenders; they do not turn a short price into a good bet.
Race 6: #4 Blame Ashley. The main positives are race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. The supplied morning line is 1-1. Check the actual price and official changes before deciding whether to bet; this selection is a preference, not a guaranteed value play.
Race 3 is the highest-purse race listed in the supplied card. #5 Endlessly leads Scott’s ordering. #5 Endlessly gets the nod here, with a favorable rider-statistics profile and a running style that fits the projected pace scenario. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Endlessly has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
Race 5: #9 Red Raider is a longer-priced contender among Scott’s first three, listed at 8-1 on the morning line. The appeal includes a running style that fits the projected pace scenario and a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. That price is a pre-race estimate, not a live quote or proof of a betting edge.
Card-based analysis generated from frozen ratings; confirm current odds and official changes.
Independent contender ratings alongside TIMESIM. Open a race and choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab for the full ranking.
Race 1: #8 Peachy Canyon · #7 Brazoria · #4 Chair'S Coin
Race 2: #4 Gettinby · #2 Jerry'S Spirit · #3 Special Club
Race 3: #5 Endlessly · #2 Artislas · #1 Nesso'S Lastharrah
Race 4: #3 Can'T Say That · #4 Sei Bella · #7 Springline
Race 5: #9 Red Raider · #4 Bottled In Bond · #6 Lil Prince Cairo
Race 6: #4 Blame Ashley · #2 I Know Nothing · #1 East Witton
Race 7: #4 Moon Ice · #3 Moonlit Sonata · #9 Timayyyy
Race 8: #8 Blame The Track · #9 Dancing Thru Fire · #3 Godbless Her
