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2026-10-17 · Turf
Race 1 MdSpWt
Projected post: Time pending · 8 furlongs · 8 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Peachy CanyonJ: HERNANDEZ JUAN J · T: ROBSON LAUREN | 5/2 | 6/5 | 45.02% | 77.45% | 92.04% |
| 7 | BrazoriaJ: ROSARIO JOEL · T: MANDELLA RICHARD E | 1-1 | 5/2 | 30.00% | 42.98% | 54.05% |
| 4 | Chair'S CoinJ: BERRIOS HECTOR ISAAC · T: MCCARTHY MICHAEL W | 5-1 | 7-1 | 12.26% | 27.36% | 44.47% |
| 1 | Bourbon StoryJ: MALDONADO E · T: HESS R B JR | 12-1 | 9-1 | 10.16% | 41.06% | 75.49% |
| 2 | Island HomeJ: KIMURA KAZUSHI · T: MCCARTHY MICHAEL W | 20-1 | 60-1 | 1.62% | 6.46% | 18.14% |
| 3 | Shane'S The BrainsJ: AYUSO ARMANDO · T: O'NEILL DOUG | 15-1 | 150-1 | 0.66% | 2.74% | 7.70% |
| 6 | I'Ll Be Your BabyJ: VAN DYKE DRAYDEN · T: GALLAGHER PATRICK | 30-1 | 620-1 | 0.16% | 1.08% | 4.47% |
| 5 | Lacey LoveJ: LEPAROUX JULIEN R · T: GLATT MARK | 10-1 | 870-1 | 0.12% | 0.87% | 3.65% |
Top exacta combinations
8-1 (21.23%) · 7-8 (17.91%) · 8-7 (9.49%) · 8-4 (8.99%) · 4-8 (6.92%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#8 Peachy Canyon · #7 Brazoria · #4 Chair'S Coin
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
The preference is #8 Peachy Canyon, with a favorable rider-statistics profile and late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Peachy Canyon has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
#7 Brazoria is the main alternative, bringing race-speed figures that compare well with this field. #4 Chair'S Coin rounds out the first three, with a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. The reservation is that the early-pace comparison is less favorable.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.