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2026-10-17 · Dirt
Race 4 Clm16000NW3L
Projected post: Time pending · 8 furlongs · 7 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SpringlineJ: AYUSO ARMANDO · T: HANSON RYAN | 5/2 | 5/2 | 26.80% | 41.76% | 51.71% |
| 1 | PhotogenicJ: ROSARIO JOEL · T: POWELL LEONARD | 2-1 | 5/2 | 26.79% | 35.82% | 41.88% |
| 2 | Lovely MedagliaJ: GARCIA EPIFANIO · T: BAKER D WAYNE | 8-1 | 6-1 | 14.04% | 41.55% | 69.22% |
| 6 | Bear'S BoardJ: AGUILAR ARMANDO · T: FARIAS JORGE | 10-1 | 7-1 | 12.14% | 25.75% | 38.14% |
| 4 | Sei BellaJ: BAZE T C · T: PERIBAN JORGE | 4-1 | 9-1 | 9.88% | 23.89% | 39.07% |
| 3 | Can'T Say ThatJ: KIMURA KAZUSHI · T: PAPAPRODROMOU GEORGE | 7/2 | 15-1 | 6.85% | 20.87% | 39.60% |
| 5 | Bitter TruthJ: VALDIVIA J JR · T: VALDEZ JOSE R | 30-1 | 30-1 | 3.50% | 10.36% | 20.39% |
Top exacta combinations
7-2 (8.50%) · 1-2 (7.11%) · 1-7 (6.96%) · 7-6 (4.32%) · 7-1 (4.31%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#3 Can'T Say That · #4 Sei Bella · #7 Springline
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
The preference is #3 Can'T Say That, with a useful trainer-and-rider combination record and late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Can'T Say That has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
#4 Sei Bella is the main alternative, bringing early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. #7 Springline rounds out the first three, with a favorable recent-form profile. The reservation is that the early-pace comparison is less favorable.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.