9 races · TIMESIM Original & TIMESIM 100 · Scott Tobia Handicapping
Santa Anita has 9 races on the card. Our strongest TIMESIM 100 winning chance is Ima Track Star in Race 2 at 55.0%. Both models put this horse first. A strong selection still needs the right price; the value screen below compares the morning line with our fair odds. TIMESIM SD0, SD3 and SD5 are shown separately; no variation was selected using race results.
Our selected feature is Race 4, OC20000NW1$X, at 8 furlongs on Dirt. Cotta Ride gets the nod from TIMESIM 100 at 23.8% to win. Gonzalez Ricardo rides for Glatt Mark. That works out to roughly 3-1 fair odds; we want a price above that estimate before calling it a win-bet opportunity. Miss Practical is the main model threat at 22.1%. Kool Mariah rounds out the leading group. The Original model prefers Miss Practical, which makes this a race to compare carefully across the tabs. Check official scratches, surface changes and the actual odds before using these projections.
The Santa Anita card offers 9 races to work through. #3 Ima Track Star in Race 2 has the clearest separation from its nearest rival in Scott’s ratings. That makes it a useful starting point for the card, while the race notes below explain both the attraction and the opposition. Ratings compare contenders; they do not turn a short price into a good bet.
Race 2: #3 Ima Track Star. The main positives are a useful trainer-and-rider combination record and early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. The supplied morning line is 3/5. Check the actual price and official changes before deciding whether to bet; this selection is a preference, not a guaranteed value play.
Race 4 is the highest-purse race listed in the supplied card. #1 Dottie Hinson leads Scott’s ordering. The preference is #1 Dottie Hinson, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Dottie Hinson has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
Race 8: #9 Chachacha Ching is a longer-priced contender among Scott’s first three, listed at 10-1 on the morning line. The appeal includes late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal and a running style that fits the projected pace scenario. That price is a pre-race estimate, not a live quote or proof of a betting edge.
Card-based analysis generated from frozen ratings; confirm current odds and official changes.
Independent contender ratings alongside TIMESIM. Open a race and choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab for the full ranking.
Race 1: #5 Miles Finch · #1 Letmein · #7 Hurricane Way
Race 2: #3 Ima Track Star · #4 Singlemore · #2 Southern Melodee
Race 3: #1 Grey'S Boy · #6 Mo Holland Drive · #5 Sterling Sea
Race 4: #1 Dottie Hinson · #6 Miss Practical · #2 Baby Needs Shoes
Race 5: #4 Caisson · #5 Cathal · #7 Jimmy Blue Jeans
Race 6: #6 He'S Got Fire · #8 Hungover · #5 Mystic Moses
Race 7: #3 Roselee May · #2 Pentle Bay · #8 Dea Matrona
