← Santa Anita card
2026-10-16 · Turf
Race 5 Alw16000s
Projected post: Time pending · 9 furlongs · 10 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fomo JoeJ: MALDONADO E · T: CAMPUZANO LORENZO | 9/2 | 3-1 | 24.50% | 38.53% | 48.25% |
| 7 | Jimmy Blue JeansJ: LEPAROUX JULIEN R · T: AGUIRRE PAUL | 6-1 | 6-1 | 14.34% | 21.12% | 25.98% |
| 1 | GeometryJ: ESPINOZA V · T: KNAPP STEVE | 7/2 | 7-1 | 13.24% | 25.82% | 36.65% |
| 3 | Rhythem On StageJ: FREY KYLE · T: GARCIA VICTOR L | 20-1 | 8-1 | 11.65% | 18.83% | 24.27% |
| 4 | CaissonJ: AYUSO ARMANDO · T: RHEINFORD MARK | 5/2 | 8-1 | 10.95% | 25.73% | 40.16% |
| 8 | GrandisimoJ: LEZCANO ABEL · T: CUNNINGHAM BRIAN T | 10-1 | 12-1 | 7.41% | 18.64% | 31.00% |
| 6 | DairagoJ: ROSARIO JOEL · T: HESS R B JR | 8/5 | 12-1 | 7.01% | 22.57% | 42.83% |
| 10 | OobubbakakayoJ: PEREIRA TIAGO · T: VALLEJO GENARO | 15-1 | 15-1 | 5.67% | 14.69% | 25.04% |
| 5 | CathalJ: AGUILAR ARMANDO · T: VALDEZ JOSE R | 12-1 | 25-1 | 4.08% | 10.31% | 17.83% |
| 2 | SpearfishJ: PEREIRA TIAGO · T: SIERRA JAVIER JOSE | 30-1 | 80-1 | 1.14% | 3.75% | 7.98% |
Top exacta combinations
9-4 (4.23%) · 9-6 (4.02%) · 9-1 (3.94%) · 7-9 (3.24%) · 9-8 (3.14%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#4 Caisson · #5 Cathal · #7 Jimmy Blue Jeans
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
#4 Caisson comes out on top of this field, with a running style that fits the projected pace scenario and early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Caisson has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
#5 Cathal is the main alternative, bringing a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. #7 Jimmy Blue Jeans rounds out the first three, with a stronger record at this track than many of these rivals. The top selection has a clearer rating edge here, though that is not a calibrated winning probability.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.