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2026-10-16 · Dirt
Race 6 Md12500
Projected post: Time pending · 6 furlongs · 9 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mystic MosesJ: BAZE T C · T: MIYADI STEVEN | 8/5 | 5/2 | 29.21% | 47.65% | 59.80% |
| 6 | He'S Got FireJ: VAN DYKE DRAYDEN · T: PAPAPRODROMOU GEORGE | 4-1 | 4-1 | 21.04% | 45.96% | 65.17% |
| 8 | HungoverJ: ORANTES WELFIN R · T: HANSON RYAN | 7/2 | 9/2 | 17.99% | 31.73% | 42.31% |
| 9 | ZenjinJ: BAUTISTA ALFREDO L · T: BONDE JEFF | 30-1 | 5-1 | 15.98% | 21.21% | 24.77% |
| 2 | Fine Irish MorningJ: PEREIRA TIAGO · T: MCCANNA TIM | 3-1 | 15-1 | 6.79% | 21.72% | 41.51% |
| 3 | Epic HeroJ: FLORES P · T: MCDONALD MELANIE W | 30-1 | 15-1 | 5.52% | 18.33% | 36.23% |
| 4 | ForegoneconclusionJ: AMERICANO MANUEL · T: RUVALCABA ALBERTO | 15-1 | 30-1 | 2.88% | 11.07% | 24.09% |
| 1 | NaudesnoodleJ: HUSAIN ALI · T: AZCARATE DAN | 30-1 | 190-1 | 0.53% | 1.80% | 3.69% |
| 7 | Tiger To YouJ: AGUILAR ARMANDO · T: STUTE GARY | 20-1 | 2000-1 | 0.05% | 0.53% | 2.42% |
Top exacta combinations
5-6 (10.20%) · 6-5 (5.61%) · 8-6 (5.57%) · 5-8 (5.25%) · 8-5 (4.95%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#6 He'S Got Fire · #8 Hungover · #5 Mystic Moses
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
#6 He'S Got Fire gets the nod here, with a positive trainer record relative to this field and race-speed figures that compare well with this field. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility.
#8 Hungover is the main alternative, bringing a running style that fits the projected pace scenario. #5 Mystic Moses rounds out the first three, with a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. The reservation is that the available track-history comparison is less favorable.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.