10 races · TIMESIM Original & TIMESIM 100 · Scott Tobia Handicapping
Keeneland has 10 races on the card. Our strongest TIMESIM 100 winning chance is Stowaway in Race 1 at 44.1%. Both models put this horse first. A strong selection still needs the right price; the value screen below compares the morning line with our fair odds.
Our selected feature is Race 7, BCJuvFil-G1, at 8.5 furlongs on Dirt. Miss Monica gets the nod from TIMESIM 100 at 22.6% to win. Prat Flavien rides for Baffert Bob. That works out to roughly 7/2 fair odds; we want a price above that estimate before calling it a win-bet opportunity. Manuka Honey is the main model threat at 14.7%. Emphatic rounds out the leading group. The Original model agrees on the top selection. Check official scratches, surface changes and the actual odds before using these projections.
The Keeneland card offers 10 races to work through. #5 Hughes in Race 9 has the clearest separation from its nearest rival in Scott’s ratings. That makes it a useful starting point for the card, while the race notes below explain both the attraction and the opposition. Ratings compare contenders; they do not turn a short price into a good bet.
Race 9: #5 Hughes. The main positives are race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. The supplied morning line is 1-1. Check the actual price and official changes before deciding whether to bet; this selection is a preference, not a guaranteed value play.
Race 7 is the highest-purse race listed in the supplied card. #5 Miss Monica leads Scott’s ordering. The preference is #5 Miss Monica, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a positive trainer record relative to this field. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility.
Race 8: #2 Go For Launch is a longer-priced contender among Scott’s first three, listed at 30-1 on the morning line. The appeal includes race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. That price is a pre-race estimate, not a live quote or proof of a betting edge.
Card-based analysis generated from frozen ratings; confirm current odds and official changes.
Independent contender ratings alongside TIMESIM. Open a race and choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab for the full ranking.
Race 1: #1 Emerging Market · #3 Gould'S Gold · #6 Memory
Race 2: #3 Honor Is Mine · #4 Forgive Me · #7 Maitresse
Race 3: #6 Majik Mooney · #1 Maxify · #13 Not For Long
Race 4: #10 Campobasso · #7 Cornwall Boss · #4 Ghazaaly
Race 5: #11 Mccoy · #1 Yacht Master · #2 Kingside
Race 6: #4 Brickyard Belle · #15 Adonius · #10 Harper'S Corner
Race 7: #5 Miss Monica · #8 Manuka Honey · #10 Emphatic
Race 8: #2 Go For Launch · #12 Domestic Agenda · #7 Vanta
