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2026-10-30 · Dirt
Race 7 BCJuvFil-G1
Projected post: Time pending · 8.5 furlongs · 12 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Miss MonicaJ: PRAT FLAVIEN · T: BAFFERT BOB | 5/2 | 7/2 | 22.62% | 35.20% | 44.55% |
| 8 | Manuka HoneyJ: SAEZ LUIS · T: LYNCH BRIAN A | 10-1 | 6-1 | 14.68% | 27.55% | 38.38% |
| 10 | EmphaticJ: GAFFALIONE TYLER · T: WALSH BRENDAN P | 9/5 | 8-1 | 11.48% | 23.03% | 33.30% |
| 4 | Rum TwistJ: VELAZQUEZ J R · T: HENNIG MARK | 15-1 | 9-1 | 10.38% | 21.84% | 32.91% |
| 7 | Lexi'S CharmJ: ORTIZ JOSE L · T: CASSE MARK | 15-1 | 9-1 | 10.24% | 18.65% | 26.21% |
| 2 | Domain ExpansionJ: ESCOBEDO ADRIAN · T: POWELL LEONARD | 6-1 | 12-1 | 7.12% | 14.09% | 21.04% |
| 11 | VoyagerJ: CASTELLANO J J · T: CASSE MARK | 12-1 | 15-1 | 5.55% | 15.49% | 27.66% |
| 1 | Scarlett BegoniaJ: FRANCO MANUEL · T: COX BRAD H | 20-1 | 20-1 | 5.37% | 13.10% | 21.80% |
| 12 | Life ChangingJ: HERNANDEZ JUAN J · T: PLETCHER TODD A | 30-1 | 20-1 | 5.32% | 11.63% | 18.26% |
| 6 | Revenge Of The SisJ: ZAYAS EDGARD J · T: WEAVER GEORGE | 20-1 | 20-1 | 4.67% | 10.57% | 17.03% |
| 9 | BadittudeJ: ROSARIO JOEL · T: PLETCHER TODD A | 30-1 | 80-1 | 1.34% | 4.73% | 10.15% |
| 3 | FoxiestJ: ALVARADO JUNIOR · T: COX BRAD H | 15-1 | 80-1 | 1.22% | 4.11% | 8.71% |
Top exacta combinations
5-8 (3.68%) · 5-10 (3.18%) · 5-4 (3.12%) · 8-5 (2.63%) · 5-11 (2.30%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#5 Miss Monica · #8 Manuka Honey · #10 Emphatic
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
The preference is #5 Miss Monica, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a positive trainer record relative to this field. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility.
#8 Manuka Honey is the main alternative, bringing a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. #10 Emphatic rounds out the first three, with a useful combination of surface and distance credentials. The top selection has a clearer rating edge here, though that is not a calibrated winning probability.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.