← Keeneland card
2026-10-30 · Dirt
Race 1 OC80000NW2$X
Projected post: Time pending · 8.5 furlongs · 8 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | StowawayJ: LOVEBERRY JARETH · T: BECKMAN D WHITWORTH | 6-1 | 6/5 | 44.13% | 69.21% | 83.51% |
| 1 | Emerging MarketJ: PRAT FLAVIEN · T: BROWN CHAD C | 6/5 | 3-1 | 26.13% | 58.05% | 79.29% |
| 5 | Admiral DennisJ: ALVARADO JUNIOR · T: COX BRAD H | 5-1 | 9/2 | 17.65% | 34.28% | 50.18% |
| 6 | MemoryJ: GAFFALIONE TYLER · T: WALSH BRENDAN P | 4-1 | 15-1 | 6.38% | 14.73% | 25.09% |
| 3 | Gould'S GoldJ: FRANCO MANUEL · T: MCPEEK KENNETH G | 6-1 | 25-1 | 3.73% | 13.34% | 29.61% |
| 8 | AzamJ: SAEZ LUIS · T: D'ANGELO JOSE FRANCISCO | 15-1 | 120-1 | 0.84% | 3.06% | 7.12% |
| 4 | Drake'S PassageJ: ROSARIO JOEL · T: JACOBSON DAVID | 30-1 | 150-1 | 0.66% | 4.00% | 13.19% |
| 7 | Special SessionJ: ORTIZ JOSE L · T: CASSE MARK | 12-1 | 200-1 | 0.49% | 3.33% | 12.01% |
Top exacta combinations
2-1 (21.50%) · 1-2 (13.02%) · 2-5 (9.71%) · 5-2 (7.59%) · 5-1 (6.37%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#1 Emerging Market · #3 Gould'S Gold · #6 Memory
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
The preference is #1 Emerging Market, with a positive trainer record relative to this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Emerging Market has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
#3 Gould'S Gold is the main alternative, bringing a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. #6 Memory rounds out the first three, with early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. The top selection has a clearer rating edge here, though that is not a calibrated winning probability.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.