← Keeneland card
2026-10-16 · Turf
Race 8 Alw120000NW1X
Projected post: Time pending · 5.5 furlongs · 16 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Beautiful WarJ: GAFFALIONE TYLER · T: FAWKES DAVID | 7/2 | 5-1 | 17.10% | 35.76% | 51.82% |
| 6 | AtlalJ: ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL · T: COWANS WILLIAM D | 20-1 | 6-1 | 14.96% | 24.38% | 32.05% |
| 8 | ZakinthosJ: SAEZ LUIS · T: LYNCH BRIAN A | 8-1 | 9-1 | 10.41% | 17.77% | 24.04% |
| 3 | ExpresswayJ: VELAZQUEZ J R · T: LYNCH BRIAN A | 6-1 | 9-1 | 10.08% | 17.58% | 24.05% |
| 7 | Red SquareJ: ORTIZ JOSE L · T: WARD WESLEY A | 5/2 | 9-1 | 10.02% | 15.50% | 19.78% |
| 5 | AssertivenessJ: TORRES JAIME A · T: JOSEPH SAFFIE A JR | 15-1 | 12-1 | 7.50% | 16.23% | 25.26% |
| 12 | Gypsy ArtJ: ORTIZ IRAD JR · T: WARD WESLEY A | 9/2 | 15-1 | 6.80% | 18.37% | 31.69% |
| 14 | Cinister CixJ: SAEZ LUIS · T: SANDS SHANE | 3-1 | 15-1 | 6.73% | 17.39% | 29.51% |
| 10 | StunningJ: ACHARD ALEX · T: ENNIS JOHN | 15-1 | 15-1 | 5.55% | 11.13% | 16.73% |
| 9 | Ghost TalesJ: ORTIZ YOMAR JR · T: MOLLOY THOMAS | 50-1 | 25-1 | 3.66% | 6.37% | 8.82% |
| 11 | LivehappyJ: CORRALES GERARDO · T: MORENO TITO | 20-1 | 30-1 | 2.89% | 6.57% | 10.53% |
| 15 | Bluegrass TownJ: ORTIZ IRAD JR · T: WALSH BRENDAN P | 8-1 | 40-1 | 2.29% | 7.13% | 14.23% |
| 2 | StashuJ: CONCEPCION AXEL · T: WAINWRIGHT JOHN | 20-1 | 80-1 | 1.19% | 3.28% | 6.02% |
| 1 | Time For MoneyJ: MORALES EDGAR · T: ENNIS JOHN | 30-1 | 140-1 | 0.73% | 2.16% | 4.30% |
| 16 | Mischievous RichieJ: LOVEBERRY JARETH · T: RIVELLI LARRY | 6-1 | 1310-1 | 0.08% | 0.35% | 0.99% |
| 13 | Pelican HillJ: GRAHAM J · T: NICKEL FELIPE | 20-1 | 50000-1 | 0.00% | 0.04% | 0.16% |
Top exacta combinations
6-4 (3.45%) · 4-12 (2.60%) · 4-14 (2.44%) · 8-4 (2.29%) · 3-4 (2.25%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#7 Red Square · #4 Beautiful War · #12 Gypsy Art
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
#7 Red Square comes out on top of this field, with a favorable rider-statistics profile and a positive trainer record relative to this field. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Red Square has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
#4 Beautiful War is the main alternative, bringing race-speed figures that compare well with this field. #12 Gypsy Art rounds out the first three, with late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. The reservation is that the projected race shape is a concern.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.