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2026-10-16 · Dirt
Race 7 MdSpWt
Projected post: Time pending · 7 furlongs · 15 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sweet VentureJ: ORTIZ IRAD JR · T: KENNEALLY EDDIE | 4-1 | 3-1 | 26.58% | 41.87% | 52.77% |
| 12 | FumedJ: GAFFALIONE TYLER · T: DELACOUR ARNAUD | 5/2 | 6-1 | 13.55% | 21.86% | 28.60% |
| 7 | PuuneneJ: MACHADO LUAN · T: COLEBROOK BEN | 6-1 | 9-1 | 10.44% | 22.48% | 33.96% |
| 6 | RevereignJ: ANTONGEORGI WILLIAM JR · T: HOLSAPPLE HUTCH | 15-1 | 10-1 | 8.76% | 19.77% | 30.59% |
| 8 | Pardi VidaJ: ORTIZ JOSE L · T: SHARP JOE | 9/2 | 15-1 | 6.24% | 12.68% | 18.83% |
| 11 | MoiraiJ: TORRES JAIME A · T: MUNOZ CARLOS | 30-1 | 20-1 | 5.16% | 10.21% | 14.99% |
| 3 | Drops Of JupiterJ: MORALES EDGAR · T: SWEEZEY J KENT | 15-1 | 20-1 | 4.88% | 11.90% | 20.01% |
| 5 | Baby BeachJ: VELAZQUEZ J R · T: CASSE MARK | 8-1 | 20-1 | 4.66% | 11.40% | 19.20% |
| 13 | Maddie JosephineJ: JIMENEZ ALBIN · T: ANDERSON CORIE | 30-1 | 20-1 | 4.40% | 10.93% | 18.34% |
| 4 | WaawaatesiJ: LOVEBERRY JARETH · T: KERRICK LACY | 30-1 | 20-1 | 4.40% | 8.38% | 12.13% |
| 9 | Avie MoJ: ARRIETA FRANCISCO · T: WILLIAMS MATT | 20-1 | 30-1 | 3.17% | 7.44% | 12.22% |
| 1 | AmoarayJ: PAULY SUMMER · T: KNIPPENBERG BRIAN | 20-1 | 40-1 | 2.60% | 6.96% | 12.47% |
| 14 | Dagny TaggartJ: SAEZ LUIS · T: ARNOLD GEORGE R II | 8-1 | 50-1 | 2.05% | 5.22% | 9.22% |
| 15 | Riding The PineJ: MENDOZA AMIR · T: SWEEZEY J KENT | 20-1 | 60-1 | 1.73% | 4.88% | 9.04% |
| 10 | Enchanted LifeJ: SAEZ LUIS · T: OLIVER VICTORIA | 15-1 | 80-1 | 1.39% | 4.02% | 7.63% |
Top exacta combinations
2-7 (4.03%) · 2-6 (3.49%) · 12-2 (3.24%) · 2-12 (2.96%) · 7-2 (2.18%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#2 Sweet Venture · #8 Pardi Vida · #12 Fumed
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
The preference is #2 Sweet Venture, with a favorable rider-statistics profile and early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. The field does not show a heavy concentration of early-running types, so the opening positions could matter.
#8 Pardi Vida is the main alternative, bringing a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. #12 Fumed rounds out the first three, with a positive trainer record relative to this field. The top selection has a clearer rating edge here, though that is not a calibrated winning probability.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.