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2026-10-16 · Dirt
Race 4 Md50000
Projected post: Time pending · 6 furlongs · 11 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | DontworryboutnothnJ: GAFFALIONE TYLER · T: JACOBSON DAVID | 8/5 | 3/2 | 39.60% | 75.81% | 91.93% |
| 7 | Harry HoudiniJ: RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO · T: LUCARELLI FRANK | 4-1 | 2-1 | 32.51% | 50.10% | 62.72% |
| 8 | MizzouJ: HERNANDEZ B J JR · T: SALAS MARCELINO | 12-1 | 6-1 | 14.60% | 32.67% | 50.28% |
| 11 | King LeeJ: LOVEBERRY JARETH · T: FORSTER GRANT T | 20-1 | 15-1 | 6.77% | 14.27% | 22.42% |
| 10 | Southern WhisperJ: ORTIZ JOSE L · T: SHARP JOE | 8-1 | 30-1 | 3.25% | 7.26% | 12.31% |
| 6 | Lifes RewardJ: BEJARANO R · T: HARTMAN CHRIS | 10-1 | 40-1 | 2.38% | 11.90% | 30.15% |
| 2 | Torre EiffelJ: ASMUSSEN KEITH J · T: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M | 20-1 | 180-1 | 0.57% | 4.16% | 13.37% |
| 4 | A. P. CloudJ: LARA VICTOR · T: PITTMAN BONNIE | 30-1 | 720-1 | 0.14% | 1.42% | 5.49% |
| 1 | He Has GameJ: FUENMAYOR LUIS · T: DIVITO JAMES P | 20-1 | 910-1 | 0.11% | 0.84% | 2.55% |
| 3 | MachadoJ: SAEZ LUIS · T: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M | 12-1 | 2320-1 | 0.04% | 1.05% | 6.22% |
| 9 | Stelvio PassJ: ORTIZ IRAD JR · T: BROWN CHAD C | 5-1 | 3030-1 | 0.03% | 0.53% | 2.54% |
Top exacta combinations
7-5 (20.25%) · 5-7 (12.03%) · 5-8 (10.32%) · 8-5 (8.74%) · 5-6 (6.13%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#9 Stelvio Pass · #7 Harry Houdini · #5 Dontworryboutnothn
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
The preference is #9 Stelvio Pass, with a positive trainer record relative to this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility.
#7 Harry Houdini is the main alternative, bringing race-speed figures that compare well with this field. #5 Dontworryboutnothn rounds out the first three, with a favorable recent-form profile. The top choice has no positive race-speed history in the supplied inputs, so treat this assessment cautiously.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.