← Keeneland card
2026-10-16 · Dirt
Race 3 Clm40000NW2L
Projected post: Time pending · 6.5 furlongs · 9 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | NessyJ: CORRALES GERARDO · T: RIVERA NESTOR R | 7/2 | 3-1 | 25.67% | 41.24% | 53.21% |
| 1 | Speech And DramaJ: ORTIZ JOSE L · T: TOMLINSON MICHAEL A | 5/2 | 7-1 | 13.30% | 21.00% | 27.11% |
| 2 | RebelkaJ: LARA VICTOR · T: CHAPMAN JAMES K | 10-1 | 7-1 | 12.96% | 23.33% | 32.29% |
| 8 | ChiqueadaJ: SHEEHY DANNY · T: ENNIS JOHN | 10-1 | 9-1 | 10.41% | 25.53% | 41.75% |
| 9 | Walters CampaignJ: CONCEPCION AXEL · T: REYNOLDS LINDSEY C | 9/2 | 9-1 | 10.01% | 25.91% | 43.29% |
| 7 | No Caller IdJ: SAEZ LUIS · T: DAVID CARLOS A | 6-1 | 12-1 | 8.11% | 22.10% | 38.19% |
| 3 | Red SunJ: ANTONGEORGI WILLIAM JR · T: HOLSAPPLE HUTCH | 8-1 | 12-1 | 7.79% | 12.33% | 16.07% |
| 5 | BoorayJ: GAFFALIONE TYLER · T: WEAVER GEORGE | 8-1 | 15-1 | 6.82% | 19.15% | 34.32% |
| 6 | Mr. Grumpy PantsJ: JIMENEZ ALBIN · T: CARPIO RILARDO J | 20-1 | 20-1 | 4.94% | 9.42% | 13.78% |
Top exacta combinations
4-9 (4.75%) · 4-8 (4.55%) · 4-7 (4.09%) · 4-5 (3.54%) · 4-2 (3.36%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#7 No Caller Id · #4 Nessy · #9 Walters Campaign
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
#7 No Caller Id gets the nod here, with a positive trainer record relative to this field and race-speed figures that compare well with this field. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. No Caller Id has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
#4 Nessy is the main alternative, bringing a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. #9 Walters Campaign rounds out the first three, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field. The top selection has a clearer rating edge here, though that is not a calibrated winning probability.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.