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TRACK PREVIEW · 2026-10-16

Evangeline Downs Race Day

7 races · TIMESIM Original & TIMESIM 100 · Scott Tobia Handicapping

Model-generated card · 2026-10-16. Verify official changes before use.
THE DAY’S OUTLOOK

A closer look at Evangeline Downs

Evangeline Downs has 7 races on the card. Our strongest TIMESIM 100 winning chance is Jungle Music in Race 1 at 71.7%. Both models put this horse first. A strong selection still needs the right price; the value screen below compares the morning line with our fair odds. TIMESIM SD0, SD3 and SD5 are shown separately; no variation was selected using race results.

Feature race

Our selected feature is Race 6, Alw22500NW2L, at 1.36364 furlongs on Dirt. Shes Jess Sixy gets the nod from TIMESIM 100 at 22.9% to win. Castaneda Noe rides for Lopez Jose U. That works out to roughly 7/2 fair odds; we want a price above that estimate before calling it a win-bet opportunity. Another Gold Heart is the main model threat at 22.7%. Stratosfaction rounds out the leading group. The Original model agrees on the top selection. Check official scratches, surface changes and the actual odds before using these projections.

The complete card

Projected post times are Eastern Time and may change.

Print All ↗
1
Race 1 · Alw15000NW2LProjected post: Time pending · 3.95455 furlongs · Dirt
Jungle Music71.7% win
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2
Race 2 · MdSpWtProjected post: Time pending · 1.36364 furlongs · Dirt
Jp Jessa Dynasty32.8% win
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3
Race 3 · Clm10000NW3LProjected post: Time pending · 1 furlongs · Dirt
Mda Eyes Of Carter18.1% win
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4
Race 4 · Md5000Projected post: Time pending · 1 furlongs · Dirt
Comparame46.1% win
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5
Race 5 · Alw15000NW2LProjected post: Time pending · 1.36364 furlongs · Dirt
Cant Uncle34.4% win
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6
Race 6 · Alw22500NW2LProjected post: Time pending · 1.36364 furlongs · Dirt
Shes Jess Sixy22.9% win
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7
Race 7 · Md5000Projected post: Time pending · 1 furlongs · Dirt
Macho Mouse29.7% win
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Scott’s view of the card

The Evangeline Downs card offers 7 races to work through. #2 Sheaza Hero in Race 3 has the clearest separation from its nearest rival in Scott’s ratings. That makes it a useful starting point for the card, while the race notes below explain both the attraction and the opposition. Ratings compare contenders; they do not turn a short price into a good bet.

Best-bet consideration

Race 3: #2 Sheaza Hero. The main positives are a positive trainer record relative to this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. The supplied morning line is 10-1. Check the actual price and official changes before deciding whether to bet; this selection is a preference, not a guaranteed value play.

Feature race

Race 6 is the highest-purse race listed in the supplied card. #4 Shes Jess Sixy leads Scott’s ordering. #4 Shes Jess Sixy gets the nod here, with a positive trainer record relative to this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. The field does not show a heavy concentration of early-running types, so the opening positions could matter.

Longshot watch

Race 3: #2 Sheaza Hero is a longer-priced contender among Scott’s first three, listed at 10-1 on the morning line. The appeal includes a positive trainer record relative to this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. That price is a pre-race estimate, not a live quote or proof of a betting edge.

Card-based analysis generated from frozen ratings; confirm current odds and official changes.

SCOTT TOBIA HANDICAPPING

Scott’s race-by-race selections

Independent contender ratings alongside TIMESIM. Open a race and choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab for the full ranking.

Race 1: #6 Jungle Music · #4 Meantothebone Eagle · #2 Tc Mora Mia

Race 2: #5 Shakira Train B · #1 San Fast · #6 Miss Foxy Eagle

Race 3: #2 Sheaza Hero · #8 Mda Eyes Of Carter · #7 San Lorenzo Roses

Race 4: #9 Comparame · #1 Panther Diamond · #3 A Valiant Gal

Race 5: #10 Baby Pyc M · #5 Unbullevabull Train · #4 Ab Ms Robyn

Race 6: #4 Shes Jess Sixy · #1 Different Corona · #7 All Politics Astride

Race 7: #6 The La Scorpion · #2 Aubrey Blues Rogue · #5 I C Me Leaving U