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2026-10-30 · Dirt
Race 4 OC80000C
Projected post: Time pending · 6.5 furlongs · 6 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Speedy WilsonJ: BAZE T C · T: DAMATO PHILIP | 3-1 | 3-1 | 23.70% | 55.19% | 80.23% |
| 4 | CaptivatorJ: AYUSO ARMANDO · T: SADLER JOHN W | 3/2 | 9/2 | 18.85% | 33.37% | 48.53% |
| 2 | MirahmadiJ: GONZALEZ RICARDO · T: BAFFERT BOB | 6-1 | 9/2 | 17.75% | 31.08% | 45.12% |
| 3 | Mr. DisrespectfulJ: PEREIRA TIAGO · T: DOLLASE CRAIG | 12-1 | 5-1 | 15.94% | 35.34% | 56.47% |
| 1 | Gun Runner CharlieJ: AGUILAR ARMANDO · T: MILLER PETER | 15-1 | 6-1 | 13.36% | 25.88% | 40.44% |
| 5 | AhrensJ: BERRIOS HECTOR ISAAC · T: SADLER JOHN W | 2-1 | 9-1 | 10.40% | 19.14% | 29.22% |
Top exacta combinations
4-6 (7.76%) · 3-6 (7.50%) · 6-3 (7.29%) · 2-6 (7.08%) · 1-6 (5.37%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#6 Speedy Wilson · #2 Mirahmadi · #5 Ahrens
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
The preference is #6 Speedy Wilson, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Speedy Wilson has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
#2 Mirahmadi is the main alternative, bringing a positive trainer record relative to this field. #5 Ahrens rounds out the first three, with a favorable rider-statistics profile. The reservation is that the pairing statistics do not add much support.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.