7 races · TIMESIM Original & TIMESIM 100 · Scott Tobia Handicapping
Penn National has 7 races on the card. Our strongest TIMESIM 100 winning chance is Yorkville in Race 1 at 54.4%. Both models put this horse first. A strong selection still needs the right price; the value screen below compares the morning line with our fair odds.
Our selected feature is Race 5, SOC26000, at 6 furlongs on Dirt. Persian gets the nod from TIMESIM 100 at 30.9% to win. Bowman Adam rides for Wyner Harold. That works out to roughly 2-1 fair odds; we want a price above that estimate before calling it a win-bet opportunity. Techstar is the main model threat at 25.5%. Half A Deck rounds out the leading group. The Original model agrees on the top selection. Check official scratches, surface changes and the actual odds before using these projections.
The Penn National card offers 7 races to work through. #3 Ravel in Race 7 has the clearest separation from its nearest rival in Scott’s ratings. That makes it a useful starting point for the card, while the race notes below explain both the attraction and the opposition. Ratings compare contenders; they do not turn a short price into a good bet.
Race 7: #3 Ravel. The main positives are a useful trainer-and-rider combination record and early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. The supplied morning line is 5-1. Check the actual price and official changes before deciding whether to bet; this selection is a preference, not a guaranteed value play.
Race 5 is the highest-purse race listed in the supplied card. #2 Techstar leads Scott’s ordering. #2 Techstar comes out on top of this field, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a positive trainer record relative to this field. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. As an early-running type, the selection may need to avoid spending too much energy before the stretch.
Race 7: #5 Eddie'S Promise is a longer-priced contender among Scott’s first three, listed at 8-1 on the morning line. The appeal includes a favorable rider-statistics profile and a favorable recent-form profile. That price is a pre-race estimate, not a live quote or proof of a betting edge.
Card-based analysis generated from frozen ratings; confirm current odds and official changes.
Independent contender ratings alongside TIMESIM. Open a race and choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab for the full ranking.
Race 1: #4 Yorkville · #2 Uncaptured Star · #5 Bells Run
Race 2: #2 Didn'T It Rain · #4 Miss Ida B · #5 Capricorn Belle
Race 3: #4 Penn Franklin · #2 Bernie Says So · #3 Rar
Race 4: #5 County · #6 Sense Of Wonder · #2 Mesopotamia
Race 5: #2 Techstar · #5 Half A Deck · #1 Cheese N Crackers
