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2026-10-16 · Dirt
Race 1 Md16000
Projected post: Time pending · 5 furlongs · 5 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Amelia AdamsJ: CHIAPPE R · T: KRAVETS BRUCE M | 2-1 | 9/5 | 34.83% | 65.75% | 86.74% |
| 5 | Miss Ky TapJ: CORUJO LEONARDO · T: RATHMAN ELISHA | 7/2 | 3-1 | 25.01% | 55.55% | 81.08% |
| 2 | Lady CabernetJ: SANCHEZ MAGGLIO · T: SERVIS J TYLER | 4-1 | 5-1 | 15.73% | 23.01% | 31.21% |
| 4 | Elegant ArtistryJ: WOLFSONT ANDREW · T: DIAZ JORGE | 5/2 | 6-1 | 14.31% | 25.87% | 39.71% |
| 1 | Sonoma'S CauseJ: TORRES BRYAN L · T: SERVIS J TYLER | 9/2 | 9-1 | 10.12% | 29.82% | 61.26% |
Top exacta combinations
3-5 (17.12%) · 5-3 (13.79%) · 3-1 (9.26%) · 2-3 (6.47%) · 4-3 (6.03%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#5 Miss Ky Tap · #1 Sonoma'S Cause · #3 Amelia Adams
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
The preference is #5 Miss Ky Tap, with a positive trainer record relative to this field and a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. The field does not show a heavy concentration of early-running types, so the opening positions could matter.
#1 Sonoma'S Cause is the main alternative, bringing a favorable rider-statistics profile. #3 Amelia Adams rounds out the first three, with a favorable rider-statistics profile. The top choice has no positive race-speed history in the supplied inputs, so treat this assessment cautiously.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.