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2026-10-30 · Dirt

Race 2 Md16000

Projected post: Time pending · 5.5 furlongs · 7 active runners

#Horse / ConnectionsMLOur oddsWinPlaceShow
3Lucky CocoJ: ROSARIO EMANUEL · T: RODRIGUEZ JOSE S30-13-125.00%43.92%59.37%
5Paris By NightJ: BARBOSA JEIRON · T: ROBB JOHN J6/53-124.79%44.05%60.01%
7Pelican PierJ: PEREZ XAVIER · T: ROBB JOHN J8/55-116.18%32.38%48.07%
4Shanghai RoseJ: ROWLAND MADELINE · T: GORHAM MICHAEL E6-17-112.53%28.94%46.55%
2Her DecisionJ: LOPEZ CARLOS EDUARDO · T: MAGEE KIERON12-17-112.41%26.50%41.24%
1Happy EncounterJ: CORUJO WILFREDO · T: MALDONADO JONATHAN8-110-18.54%21.52%36.98%
6Engage At WillJ: BRICENO LEANDRO M · T: SALZMAN JOHN E JR15-1180-10.55%2.68%7.79%

Top exacta combinations

3-5 (7.05%) · 5-3 (6.62%) · 5-7 (5.06%) · 3-7 (4.93%) · 5-4 (4.79%)

Scott Tobia Handicapping

#5 Paris By Night · #7 Pelican Pier · #6 Engage At Will

#5 Paris By Night comes out on top of this field, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. As an early-running type, the selection may need to avoid spending too much energy before the stretch.

#7 Pelican Pier is the main alternative, bringing race-speed figures that compare well with this field. #6 Engage At Will rounds out the first three, with a positive trainer record relative to this field. The top selection has a clearer rating edge here, though that is not a calibrated winning probability.

Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.

Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.