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2026-10-17 · Dirt
Race 7 MdSpWt
Projected post: Time pending · 8.5 furlongs · 7 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | TejanitaJ: CHEMINAUD VINCENT · T: MCGAUGHEY CLAUDE III | 8/5 | 7/5 | 42.45% | 52.70% | 60.04% |
| 2 | Year End BonusJ: RUIZ JORGE · T: BROWN CHAD C | 6/5 | 6-1 | 14.85% | 37.35% | 58.13% |
| 6 | Spresso MarJ: GOMEZ KEVIN · T: MEYERS MADISON F | 8-1 | 6-1 | 14.42% | 34.38% | 52.29% |
| 5 | Dutchman'S MapJ: BETANCOURT JOSE R · T: SAMANIEGO JOSE | 20-1 | 9-1 | 10.03% | 29.03% | 50.86% |
| 7 | Stone Cold KellyJ: BRICENO LEANDRO M · T: ALLEN A FERRIS III | 12-1 | 12-1 | 7.99% | 20.70% | 34.65% |
| 1 | Mo Lake TimeJ: VARGAS JOSE E · T: MOTION H GRAHAM | 6-1 | 12-1 | 7.60% | 17.33% | 26.70% |
| 4 | Peace Before ChaosJ: BOYCE FOREST · T: KEEFE TIMOTHY L | 20-1 | 40-1 | 2.66% | 8.50% | 17.34% |
Top exacta combinations
3-2 (11.04%) · 3-6 (10.18%) · 3-5 (8.39%) · 3-7 (5.78%) · 3-1 (4.82%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#2 Year End Bonus · #3 Tejanita · #1 Mo Lake Time
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
The preference is #2 Year End Bonus, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and a positive trainer record relative to this field. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. As an early-running type, the selection may need to avoid spending too much energy before the stretch.
#3 Tejanita is the main alternative, bringing a favorable recent-form profile. #1 Mo Lake Time rounds out the first three, with early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. The reservation is that the projected race shape is a concern.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.