← Keeneland card
2026-10-17 · Turf
Race 4 MdSpWt
Projected post: Time pending · 8.5 furlongs · 16 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | MajorbrowniepointsJ: ORTIZ JOSE L · T: CASSE MARK | 3-1 | 6-1 | 14.99% | 23.79% | 30.83% |
| 16 | Speak For YourselfJ: VELAZQUEZ J R · T: SERVIS JOHN C | 20-1 | 9-1 | 10.09% | 20.08% | 29.37% |
| 12 | Rosabella GoldJ: CARRASCO VICTOR R · T: WILKES IAN R | 30-1 | 9-1 | 9.91% | 17.22% | 23.61% |
| 15 | BreezyJ: MACHADO LUAN · T: WALDEN WILLIAM | 10-1 | 10-1 | 9.10% | 18.44% | 27.20% |
| 1 | Toco DancerJ: HERNANDEZ B J JR · T: LYNCH BRIAN A | 5-1 | 10-1 | 8.92% | 17.95% | 26.81% |
| 10 | UltravioletJ: GUTIERREZ MARIO · T: LYNCH BRIAN A | 6-1 | 10-1 | 8.64% | 17.78% | 26.53% |
| 5 | Delightful DivaJ: ORTIZ JOSE L · T: CASSE MARK | 6-1 | 12-1 | 7.53% | 15.42% | 23.63% |
| 3 | Candy PancakesJ: ORTIZ IRAD JR · T: COX BRAD H | 7/2 | 20-1 | 5.21% | 10.72% | 16.16% |
| 13 | Emma'S JusticeJ: GAFFALIONE TYLER · T: WALSH BRENDAN P | 15-1 | 20-1 | 5.01% | 11.07% | 17.63% |
| 2 | SpeedbirdJ: CONCEPCION AXEL · T: ARNOLD GEORGE R II | 15-1 | 25-1 | 4.13% | 9.29% | 15.07% |
| 6 | Gray EminenceJ: PRAT FLAVIEN · T: DELACOUR ARNAUD | 10-1 | 25-1 | 4.01% | 8.21% | 12.64% |
| 7 | Play AlongJ: TORRES JAIME A · T: CALHOUN WILLIAM BRET | 20-1 | 30-1 | 3.38% | 7.98% | 13.13% |
| 11 | WoodmereJ: BESCHIZZA ADAM · T: DANNER KELSEY | 15-1 | 30-1 | 3.12% | 7.30% | 12.01% |
| 9 | Sucker For LooksJ: VELAZQUEZ J R · T: ROBSON LAUREN | 4-1 | 30-1 | 3.09% | 7.28% | 12.10% |
| 8 | NucciaJ: SAEZ LUIS · T: OLIVER VICTORIA | 15-1 | 60-1 | 1.44% | 3.69% | 6.62% |
| 4 | American DestinyJ: ALVARADO JUNIOR · T: OLIVER VICTORIA | 20-1 | 60-1 | 1.44% | 3.78% | 6.67% |
Top exacta combinations
14-16 (1.70%) · 14-15 (1.63%) · 14-10 (1.57%) · 14-1 (1.50%) · 14-5 (1.34%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#3 Candy Pancakes · #9 Sucker For Looks · #6 Gray Eminence
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
The preference is #3 Candy Pancakes, with a useful trainer-and-rider combination record and early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. The field does not show a heavy concentration of early-running types, so the opening positions could matter.
#9 Sucker For Looks is the main alternative, bringing race-speed figures that compare well with this field. #6 Gray Eminence rounds out the first three, with a favorable rider-statistics profile. The reservation is that the projected race shape is a concern.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.