← Keeneland card
2026-10-17 · Dirt
Race 3 Alw12500s
Projected post: Time pending · 6.5 furlongs · 9 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NationJ: TORRES JAIME A · T: HESS R B JR | 10-1 | 3-1 | 25.22% | 29.77% | 32.90% |
| 7 | Dancin For GoldJ: TORRES CRISTIAN A · T: EOFF TERRY | 5/2 | 4-1 | 20.87% | 45.45% | 65.19% |
| 8 | SwirvinJ: ORTIZ IRAD JR · T: JOSEPH SAFFIE A JR | 3-1 | 5-1 | 16.00% | 26.96% | 35.05% |
| 6 | Lord MajestyJ: ARRIETA FRANCISCO · T: MILLIGAN CAMERON | 6-1 | 7-1 | 12.08% | 37.42% | 65.39% |
| 9 | Halfway JokingJ: GAFFALIONE TYLER · T: JACOBSON DAVID | 4-1 | 9-1 | 9.90% | 20.40% | 29.91% |
| 3 | King ApolloJ: GRAHAM J · T: HESS R B JR | 8-1 | 12-1 | 7.16% | 17.11% | 28.41% |
| 2 | Dr. StormJ: PAULY SUMMER · T: BAHENA ISMAEL | 15-1 | 20-1 | 5.35% | 13.94% | 24.65% |
| 1 | El DandiJ: ACHARD ALEX · T: ACEVEDO ISRAEL | 20-1 | 30-1 | 3.33% | 8.04% | 14.00% |
| 4 | Doctor JeffJ: GUTIERREZ MARIO · T: BAHENA ISMAEL | 12-1 | 1040-1 | 0.10% | 0.91% | 4.50% |
Top exacta combinations
7-6 (8.64%) · 5-7 (7.35%) · 8-7 (4.90%) · 5-6 (4.79%) · 6-7 (4.75%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#6 Lord Majesty · #8 Swirvin · #1 El Dandi
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
#6 Lord Majesty gets the nod here, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Lord Majesty has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
#8 Swirvin is the main alternative, bringing a positive trainer record relative to this field. #1 El Dandi rounds out the first three, with a positive trainer record relative to this field. The reservation is that the early-pace comparison is less favorable.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.