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2026-10-17 · Dirt

Race 4 MdSpWt

Projected post: Time pending · 7 furlongs · 7 active runners

#Horse / ConnectionsMLOur oddsWinPlaceShow
3PikeJ: CAMACHO SAMY · T: ABREU FERNANDO9/26/545.89%56.86%64.09%
4Mediterranean SeaJ: HUSBANDS MICAH J · T: JOSEPH SAFFIE A JR9/54-120.82%44.44%60.54%
7Golden DecreeJ: OCASIO JONATHAN · T: DIBONA ROBERT S3-15-115.69%40.51%61.40%
5Jean LaffiteJ: TORREALBA JG · T: SPATZ RONALD B12-115-16.03%21.08%41.40%
6Predators' BallJ: HERRERA DIEGO A · T: FAWKES DAVID5/215-15.70%19.99%40.14%
1Thom ThomJ: LEON SONNY · T: CASSE MARK15-130-13.04%7.47%12.36%
2BarjoujJ: HUGHES RASHEED · T: JOSEPH SAFFIE A JR12-130-12.84%9.65%20.08%

Top exacta combinations

3-4 (14.86%) · 3-7 (13.55%) · 4-7 (6.45%) · 3-5 (6.37%) · 3-6 (6.05%)

Scott Tobia Handicapping

#4 Mediterranean Sea · #6 Predators' Ball · #7 Golden Decree

The preference is #4 Mediterranean Sea, with race-speed figures that compare well with this field and early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. As an early-running type, the selection may need to avoid spending too much energy before the stretch.

#6 Predators' Ball is the main alternative, bringing early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. #7 Golden Decree rounds out the first three, with late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. The reservation is that the projected race shape is a concern.

Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.

Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.