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2026-10-16 · Dirt

Race 4 SOC28500

Projected post: Time pending · 5.5 furlongs · 6 active runners

#Horse / ConnectionsMLOur oddsWinPlaceShow
1Chloe'S ToyJ: VASQUEZ MIGUEL ANGEL · T: SANCHEZ AMADOR MEREI5/27/541.34%78.22%93.78%
2Happy RideJ: LEON SONNY · T: ORSENO JOSEPH F2-18/537.06%59.24%75.24%
4Musical DesignJ: REYES LEONEL · T: JACKSON GARY G5-19-110.00%26.09%48.56%
3Bad Gal PartyJ: GONZALEZ EDWIN · T: FAWKES DAVID9/215-16.71%18.45%36.36%
6Storm WestJ: HERRERA DIEGO A · T: ORSENO JOSEPH F8-140-12.62%7.59%16.91%
5MoretasticJ: CAMACHO SAMY · T: VITALI MARCUS J4-140-12.26%10.42%29.15%

Top exacta combinations

2-1 (24.72%) · 1-2 (16.88%) · 1-4 (9.52%) · 1-3 (6.83%) · 4-1 (5.76%)

Scott Tobia Handicapping

#3 Bad Gal Party · #4 Musical Design · #2 Happy Ride

The preference is #3 Bad Gal Party, with a positive trainer record relative to this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Bad Gal Party has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.

#4 Musical Design is the main alternative, bringing late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. #2 Happy Ride rounds out the first three, with early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. The reservation is that the surface-and-distance comparison is less persuasive.

Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.

Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.