← Charles Town card
2026-10-16 · Dirt
Race 7 Alw34100NW1X
Projected post: Time pending · 4.5 furlongs · 6 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Breezing UpJ: DIAZ JOSE Y · T: WALTERS DAVID L | 5-1 | 7/2 | 22.82% | 57.10% | 83.34% |
| 2 | Fortunate SonJ: PELTROCHE F · T: PELTROCHE VANESSA | 6-1 | 7/2 | 21.23% | 29.09% | 36.32% |
| 6 | Holiday CashJ: SANTAELLA MOISES · T: BROWN RONNEY W | 8/5 | 9/2 | 17.77% | 41.93% | 67.97% |
| 1 | Silver SaberJ: REYNOLDS L C · T: GRAMS TIMOTHY C | 4-1 | 6-1 | 14.53% | 23.35% | 32.03% |
| 3 | Flatter My DadJ: DAVIS JACQUELINE A · T: LUCAS ANTHONY | 7/2 | 7-1 | 12.20% | 30.43% | 55.72% |
| 5 | Buster The BullyJ: LARROSA G · T: STERLING MICHAEL E | 6-1 | 8-1 | 11.44% | 18.10% | 24.61% |
Top exacta combinations
6-4 (10.06%) · 4-6 (9.71%) · 2-4 (7.99%) · 4-3 (6.87%) · 3-4 (6.35%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#6 Holiday Cash · #1 Silver Saber · #3 Flatter My Dad
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
The preference is #6 Holiday Cash, with a positive trainer record relative to this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. As an early-running type, the selection may need to avoid spending too much energy before the stretch.
#1 Silver Saber is the main alternative, bringing early-pace figures that compare favorably with these rivals. #3 Flatter My Dad rounds out the first three, with late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. The reservation is that the projected race shape is a concern.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.