← Belmont at the Big A card
2026-10-16 · Turf
Race 6 MdSpWt
Projected post: Time pending · 8 furlongs · 9 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FelixynJ: DAVIS DYLAN · T: MORLEY THOMAS | 2-1 | 1-1 | 50.44% | 87.16% | 97.06% |
| 1 | GanderellaJ: PRAT FLAVIEN · T: TERRANOVA JOHN P II | 8/5 | 2-1 | 32.62% | 52.86% | 64.57% |
| 4 | Lady VortexJ: SANTANA RICARDO JR · T: LEVINE BRUCE | 12-1 | 8-1 | 10.68% | 18.65% | 26.09% |
| 7 | VickedJ: RIVERA DALILA A · T: DONK DAVID | 15-1 | 60-1 | 1.53% | 9.61% | 24.93% |
| 3 | JarndyceJ: MARIN SAMUEL · T: RAVEN KERRI | 12-1 | 80-1 | 1.29% | 8.34% | 22.28% |
| 2 | Burgundie RoseJ: BOWEN ROCCO · T: PRINGLE EDMUND | 30-1 | 100-1 | 1.07% | 7.46% | 20.41% |
| 9 | AlesiamaeJ: CARMOUCHE K · T: SHARP JOE | 15-1 | 100-1 | 1.04% | 5.66% | 14.69% |
| 8 | Fifty Shades FreeJ: ZAYAS EDGARD J · T: ABREU JORGE R | 8-1 | 140-1 | 0.73% | 5.58% | 15.97% |
| 6 | ItalianneJ: FRANCO MANUEL · T: MORLEY THOMAS | 6-1 | 170-1 | 0.59% | 4.69% | 14.00% |
Top exacta combinations
1-5 (25.42%) · 5-1 (16.98%) · 4-5 (7.13%) · 5-7 (6.45%) · 5-3 (5.72%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#3 Jarndyce · #1 Ganderella · #5 Felixyn
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
#3 Jarndyce gets the nod here, with a useful trainer-and-rider combination record and a running style that fits the projected pace scenario. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. Jarndyce has a stalking or closing profile that could suit that scenario; a slow pace would make the assignment harder.
#1 Ganderella is the main alternative, bringing a favorable rider-statistics profile. #5 Felixyn rounds out the first three, with late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. There is little separation between the first two ratings; this is a preference rather than a standout.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.