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2026-10-16 · Turf
Race 3 Clm35000NW2L
Projected post: Time pending · 8.5 furlongs · 8 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Key ActressJ: PRAT FLAVIEN · T: RICE LINDA | 3-1 | 5/2 | 26.78% | 35.27% | 42.08% |
| 4 | TwirlyJ: FRANCO MANUEL · T: KANTARMACI MERTKAN | 6-1 | 4-1 | 19.52% | 43.92% | 65.16% |
| 8 | PutonahappyfaceJ: FRESU ANTONIO · T: DUTROW RICHARD E | 4-1 | 4-1 | 19.20% | 40.76% | 60.18% |
| 2 | MermaidJ: SANTANA RICARDO JR · T: KANTARMACI ILKAY | 2-1 | 7-1 | 12.24% | 32.38% | 55.13% |
| 6 | Nickel SaverJ: MARIN SAMUEL · T: ANTONACCI PHILIP | 7/2 | 12-1 | 7.94% | 19.50% | 33.66% |
| 5 | Smokin Hot BlondeJ: DAVIS KATIE · T: KELLEY JAMES A | 20-1 | 12-1 | 7.01% | 11.11% | 14.71% |
| 3 | LuckforyouJ: PENA PEDRO · T: ROMERO JESUS | 30-1 | 15-1 | 5.84% | 13.24% | 22.09% |
| 7 | Queen SallyJ: MARAGH RAJIV · T: FERRARO JAMES W | 15-1 | 60-1 | 1.48% | 3.81% | 6.98% |
Top exacta combinations
1-4 (7.74%) · 1-8 (6.91%) · 8-4 (6.47%) · 4-8 (5.88%) · 4-2 (5.41%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#1 Key Actress · #4 Twirly · #6 Nickel Saver
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
#1 Key Actress gets the nod here, with a positive trainer record relative to this field and a favorable rider-statistics profile. Several entrants have an early-running profile, so a contested pace is a possibility. As an early-running type, the selection may need to avoid spending too much energy before the stretch.
#4 Twirly is the main alternative, bringing race-speed figures that compare well with this field. #6 Nickel Saver rounds out the first three, with late-pace and running-style evidence that adds appeal. The reservation is that the projected race shape is a concern.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.