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2026-10-16 · Dirt
Race 2 MdSpWt
Projected post: Time pending · 8 furlongs · 7 active runners
| # | Horse / Connections | ML | Our odds | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E Z SpeakerJ: DAVIS DYLAN · T: CASSE MARK | 7/2 | 8/5 | 37.33% | 56.16% | 67.49% |
| 2 | LoudenJ: LEZCANO JOSE · T: MOTT WILLIAM I | 9/2 | 3-1 | 25.71% | 41.42% | 52.01% |
| 3 | D. C.'S ArmyJ: ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER · T: MCPEEK KENNETH G | 6-1 | 7-1 | 13.30% | 32.22% | 49.94% |
| 7 | ShahnamehJ: FRANCO MANUEL · T: BROWN CHAD C | 12-1 | 10-1 | 9.37% | 20.57% | 31.09% |
| 6 | NevadaJ: PRAT FLAVIEN · T: BROWN CHAD C | 3-1 | 10-1 | 8.42% | 26.73% | 48.69% |
| 4 | Dream MoreJ: SANTANA RICARDO JR · T: PLETCHER TODD A | 5/2 | 25-1 | 3.51% | 13.26% | 28.66% |
| 5 | El MercadoJ: CARMOUCHE K · T: PLETCHER TODD A | 8-1 | 40-1 | 2.37% | 9.64% | 22.13% |
Top exacta combinations
1-2 (9.33%) · 2-1 (8.93%) · 1-3 (8.71%) · 1-6 (7.76%) · 2-3 (5.41%)
Scott Tobia Handicapping
#6 Nevada · #1 E Z Speaker · #5 El Mercado
Choose the Scott Tobia Handicapping tab above for full ratings. Ratings are not win probabilities.
#6 Nevada comes out on top of this field, with a favorable rider-statistics profile and a useful trainer-and-rider combination record. The field does not show a heavy concentration of early-running types, so the opening positions could matter.
#1 E Z Speaker is the main alternative, bringing race-speed figures that compare well with this field. #5 El Mercado rounds out the first three. The top choice has no positive race-speed history in the supplied inputs, so treat this assessment cautiously.
Analysis generated from the saved pre-race card and frozen Scott Tobia ratings. Check official changes and current odds.